Analyzing The Advantages And Disadvantages Of Next Week'S Breakthrough In Changyang

< p > review the trend this week. On Monday, the market formed a strong rebound under the pull of resources such as nonferrous metals and coal, and achieved a breakthrough in the 2000-2030 point interval. However, the market continued to adjust in the following three days, which would wipe out Changyang's stock. During this period, two signals were sent to shareholders: the first is the strange circle of market volume.

The stock index continued to be below 60 billion yuan. In 2013, the market frequently rebounded in such a volume area. In 2014, it was difficult to form a volume in several markets, which made the market power insufficient.

I believe that from the current market, next week's index should be an attempt to break through the trend, because the short-term adjustment factors are turning to more than 30 elements, first of all, the short-term indicators, the 60 and the 60 minute K-line are at a low level, and the short-term index should be at least in the beginning of next week to form a rebound upward impulse; technically, the suppression of the 20 day line is obvious, including the action of the market falling to 2000-2030 points on Thursday, which is also caused by the downward movement of the 20 day line.

In the early January 22, 2014 and March 21, 2014, the two rebound from the 2000 point mark, all stood on the 20 average line suppression, this index in the week in Changyang to touch the 20 day line, with the 20 day line down and gradually adjusted, the short line back to the bottom support, have the opportunity to achieve a breakthrough through Changyang.

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< p > another strange circle is the hot spot mode.

Due to the lack of incremental funds, resulting in frequent movement of stock funds, so the hot spots are not always strong, but overfall is king, including the non-ferrous metals, coal is also the case, and the Shanghai and Hong Kong Tong, FTA, preferred stock is more obvious, that is, the policy overstimulated factors become a hot driving factor.

In addition, there are 2000 points of seesaw warfare. According to the trend, the index forms a support in a certain interval. Once it breaks out, it tends to stay away quickly, or the failure of frequent upturn will form a break. But today, the market does not break or break at the 2000 point line. It also stems from the two elements mentioned above leading to the normalization of the sawing.

I believe that the main opportunity for the future market will come from the overhang of large cap stocks, and that is to focus on three big areas, the free trade area, Shanghai Hong Kong Tong and resource stocks. Especially when we see that the market tends to be low after every adjustment, the three sectors will pull up the index through the rotation. This Friday is the a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/news/index_cj.asp" > the free trade zone < /a > the concept of the protective disk will pull up the index, while the resource stock has been adjusted for 4 days, and it has fallen to the right place. Many stocks began to rebound on Friday, and then it will again provide the power to the Bulls next week.

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< p > news, the central market has 188 billion yuan in the open market this week, and the 40 billion yuan 3 year central bank ticket expires as the sequel. The central bank conducted 97 billion and 87 billion yuan repo operations this week. Accordingly, the central bank launched a net investment of 44 billion yuan in the open market this week.

The orderly expansion of funds and the entry of CPI into the 1 era are both reducing the pressure of monetary policy and are also of positive significance to the market.

The author believes that although the introduction of the nine new countries does not have substantial concrete policy cooperation, it can not present a reversal or bull market, but there is frequent policy benefit at the 2000 point line. It is now putting the value of the 2000 point line of < a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/news/index_cj.asp" > shareholders > /a > clearly, and even after several years of adjustment, the large cap stocks themselves do not have room for further adjustment.

So, including the differences in funds, more is the choice of the rebound mode and the rising tempo. This weekend's brokerage innovation and next week's national tourism day will have some policy warm winds, which will form a long atmosphere at the beginning of next week.

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< p > < a > href= > //www.sjfzxm.com/news/index_cj.asp > > risk > /a >, mainly concentrated in the gem in the short term. The index continued to fall sharply on Friday after breaking down the annual line on Thursday, and there was a sharp fall in stocks.

Unlike the main board, the low risk of large cap stocks is different from that of the gem, which has just experienced a downward trend in the bull market. Late risk and falling space can be imagined; in the big market, because of the obvious support of the 2000 points and one line, most of the resource stocks are adjusted in place, so the short term will be dragged down, but the risk is not great.

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< p > think that from index interval angle, big round stock rotation, policy aspect, and short term continuous adjustment of technical indicators, are indicating that the rebound has not ended, at least 2000 points of defense war is still a long and favorable pattern.

Short term market hot spots are still around the two major themes of policy and overfall. For short term investors, the resource stocks have been adjusted continuously, but the real rebound force behind them is overtaking and rising price elements. The price elements remain unchanged, and the rebound will continue. Therefore, I suggest that investors should pay attention to resource stocks in short term, which is also the main force of index rebound.

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