If A Person Starts To Have 3 Signs Of Foresight, It Is Worth Reading.

One person begins to see 3 signs of foresight.

What is "foresight"? When many people talk about farsighted, they are talking about some big and empty concepts, what is far sighted and strategizing.

In other words, very ungrounded.

What is foresight? How can we be far sighted? Here is the best explanation. You only need to see if you have 3 signs, so you can check yourself.

On the definition of foresight, Luo Zhenyu once said:

The vision of people who really work is to grasp the current and future trends in time, to view things from different perspectives, and to maintain adequate possibilities for iteration.

Learn to learn from young people, constantly accept new things and information, keep necessary vigilance against the passivation of knowledge structure and skills, and you can guarantee that you will not be left behind by the times.

From the perspective of future, we can grasp the value of looking at things from different perspectives.

When the sun shone, it began to repair the roof, constantly breaking through the comfort zone, and maintaining a sense of hunger for the cause.

All in all, this is foresight.

01

Learning from good young people

It's a shortcut to synchronize with the times.

"Ginger is the old spicy", "I walk through more salt than you eat"...

The admiration of the elders, or the elders' obsession with their abilities, can be seen everywhere.

When I was a child, I hated it from the age of the elderly.

However, after 30, I can see that 20 year old people will also disdain.

Until 2016, something happened that changed me.

One day, a young man of my unit pushed me to the public number of a knowledge-based blogger.

Elder sister, you usually like to read, this number is one of my younger brother's office, publish a book to dismantle a book every week, also have voice, very interesting.

I haven't seen much of it at the beginning. I've read for more than 30 years. Do I need to read such an article to listen to such a speech?

In case someone else's interpretation is wrong, does it not affect their ability to read a book?

After a while, he sent me a link saying that the knowledge blogger started teaching and taught people how to read a book and become a storyteller.

The younger brother sent her two places.

Now that I have been named, I can only learn.

Unexpectedly, I listened and listened, but I couldn't stop it. Later, he tried his method. It really worked.

From this, I started a special way of writing: "listening to books" for all listening columns.

In less than half a year, I signed several platforms, and wrote books every month, earning more than my main business.

Turning hobby into a means of making money is a skill that young people give me.

Young people have a strong sense of smell, and many of the things they do represent the trend of the times.

In his column, Mr. Liu Run mentioned the "post metaphor culture" that we learn from young people.

The term was proposed by Margaret Meade, an American anthropologist.

Meade said: "all of us must learn from the outstanding young people.

It's not because they understand the future better, but because they make the future. "

The change is faster and faster.

This means that the accumulated value of past experience is getting lower and lower.

It can even be said that the truly valuable experience comes from the younger generation.

Therefore, the manager will only regard "reverse tutorial system" as one of the 8 management principles that will lead to the future.

That is to say, senior managers should learn new ideas and new technologies from the younger generation. You are not only their mentor, but also their students.

In this regard, good managers can keep a clear head.

Luo Zhenyu once said to Peking University students, "if I have some ideas different from yours, those 80% are my mistakes."

The fastest and most convenient way to reach the future trend is to stare at the powerful young people around them, to see what books they are reading, what to do and what they are interested in.

Learn to learn from young people, you have vision, can be synchronized with the times, and even become the leader.

02

Anticipate the results before doing things.

Learn to seek value for the future.

I particularly like what Stephen Covey once said:

"Many people work hard, but in the end they find that the ladder of success is the wrong wall."

Many of us before we do things, regardless of their goals, do not look at the end, but simply work hard.

As for how valuable it is, many people do not think about it at all, so the ladder does not know where the wrong place is.

Before reading "Poor Dad Rich Dad", there was a story in the book that shocked me deeply.

There was no water in the village. The village chief commissioned two young men to water the village.

The villagers paid them.

The first young man, Ed, was a typical activist. He bought two big VATS immediately, and he ran every day between 10 lakes and villages, earning money every day.

Another young man named Bill was missing after signing the contract.

Six months later, Bill returned to the village with a construction team and an investment.

It turned out that in the past six months, Bill has made a business plan, found an investment, registered a company, and hired a project construction professional.

After that, Bill spent more than a year building a water supply system from the lake to the village.

Eide's business was destroyed on the day that the pipeline began to operate formally.

The activist ed earned only a year and a half.

Why did Bill defeat ed? Because Bill knew before he asked himself what his aim was, and what kind of value and influence he had every day in buckets of water?

Many times, we seem far sighted.

In fact, everyone can do it. Ask yourself what kind of destination you want to run before and what kind of goals you have in mind.

From the end of the reverse, to assess whether what they are doing is worthwhile.

If it's not worth it, is there a better way to do that?

This better approach is often the result of our farsightedness.

I once saw a "3-10 rule" in a book, that is, before doing one thing, ask yourself, 10 hours later, 10 months later, 10 years later, how do you think about it?

If 10 hours later, you feel that this thing is meaningless, then don't do it.

The more we can stand the test of time, the more complex value we can generate in time.

This is what Luo Zhenyu said in "knowledge is power": "all the people in the world who really know the codes of wealth are looking for value in the future."

Learn to measure what you should do from the results of the future.

When you learn to value the future, you can be more insightful and more visionary than others.

03

When the sun is shining

We need to start repairing the roof.

Taleb mentioned "black swan event" in "black swan", referring to those events with small probability but huge impact.

The black swan events exist in various fields, business, scientific research and personal life.

For example, a financial storm, a snowstorm, a serious illness, an unemployment, a scam...

The black swan event often destroys a person or a family directly.

Some time ago, "I am not the drug God" mentioned in the movie "chronic myeloid leukemia", so that many people and families are overburdened to the direct collapse.

Last year, the middle age of Beijing under the flu was exploded in the circle of friends. The protagonist in the article had rooms and cars in Beijing, but because of a flu, he spent 60 thousand yuan a day and sold cars at the end of the sale.

Besides illness, there is unemployment.

Last year, a ZTE programmer chose to jump off the floor because he lost his job.

Why do I say the black swan event?

What I want to say is to weigh a vision with the ultimate goal. It should be to see whether the person has the ability to resist risks, whether he knows how to see or not, and that he may only risk one or two times in a lifetime, so as to make reasonable countermeasures.

Because even if we do the right 99.9%, as long as there is a 0.1% small probability of black swan event, it will be able to accumulate all the benefits of the accumulation of losses, and even magnified dozens of times, hundreds of times of losses.

Cheng Jia mentioned in "good learning" that everyone should have a backup system in order to deal with small probability events.

The professional backup system can be the "ABZ plan" of Hoffman, the lead British company.

The A plan refers to a long line of work. The B plan refers to new career opportunities that are developed by itself. The Z plan is designed to deal with the worst.

For example, to deal with unemployment, you need to set aside "venture capital" in advance to ensure that you can live for half a year after you lose your job.

For example, to deal with illness, you can deposit some money every month, go to a sick account, buy a reliable insurance for yourself, and get to know a few doctors.

Of course, the best way is to constantly accumulate skills, invest in financial management and learn to avoid risks. With these, you win the "safety space" for yourself and deal with the "black swan event".

Ma Yun said in a speech at Lakeside University:

I keep reminding myself of repairing roofs on sunny days, not waiting for heavy rain to repair roofs.

It is very important to repair the roof in the sun when it is really windy and heavy.

When the sun is shining, you can "fool" to repair the roof, which is foresight.

Foresight is not mysterious.

When we learn to learn from young people, learn to measure the value of things from a future perspective, and understand how to use backup systems to deal with small probability events in our lives, we have vision.

How important is foresight? Feng Liangnu, the writer, said, "the world will make way for those who have goals and vision."