Viscose Staple Fiber: Stabilizing In Stages, But The Bottom Building Stage Is Not Over

Since February, the continuous rise of viscose staple fiber price once led the industry chain to a price peak. In March, polyester staple fiber and cotton, as competitive products, adjusted and converged their growth rapidly. However, due to the relatively stable price of viscose staple fiber still holding certain orders, the price difference between cotton and viscose fiber gradually narrowed, and the price difference between viscose and polyester widened, The processing costs of various kinds of yarns are still divided

The price advantage of the chain was compressed. The production and sales rate of viscose staple fiber Market slowed down significantly from March to April, and the downstream spinning and weaving sectors held different raw material orders. At this time, the market also entered a state of disordered competition. This situation lasted for the whole February, until the end of April and may, the raw material orders held by each link were basically moderately digested, In the rhythm of just needed goods preparation, the cost of raw materials is gradually converging, the price of yarn is also gradually approaching, and the proportion of thinking convergence is increasing. However, it is expected that the viscose staple fiber factory will issue a new price to settle the problem.

Based on the investigation and investigation of the downstream rigid demand, the price of viscose staple fiber was selected to be shipped near 13800 yuan / T acceptance, and that of high-end viscose staple fiber was near 14200 yuan / T acceptance. This price was near the full cost of viscose staple fiber. In this price, the downstream was also the small center wing which completed part of the rigid demand purchase, The transaction of just need will ensure that the growth rate of physical inventory of viscose staple fiber industry will slow down before the end of the month. With the completion of the order delivery of kongsu, the follow-up viscose staple fiber is likely to enter the process of running in the new price with the downstream. Therefore, it is hard to say that the price is really bottoming out. Before the formation of bottoming signal, it is likely to come from the increase of appropriate price superposition demand.

From the demand point of view, even if the current acceptance of 14000 yuan / ton of raw materials is calculated, many varieties of processing costs are still low. For example, the current ring spinning r45s sales price has dropped to 18500 yuan / ton or even lower, the only 4500 yuan / ton labor cost makes the factory obvious losses; Vortex spinning is selected under the rare background of periodic stabilization of viscose staple fiber, among which R30 (vortex) is reduced to 17000 yuan / ton; Under the range of r30s (air flow) spot exchange of 16000-16500 yuan / ton, if there is no early hoarding of low-cost raw materials, the factory may also have a significant loss

In terms of grey fabric, the market price of r45s * r45s 100 * 7663 "with bill is 3.7 yuan / m, but some negotiations have also dropped to 3.6-3.65 yuan / m. for such low labor cost and loss loss varieties, if the shipment is improved or even the price rebounds under the temporary stable situation of viscose staple fiber, it may lead to the follow-up of viscose staple fiber orders, but if the yarn and cloth oversold varieties still fall and cannot be reversed, Viscose staple fiber continuous orders may be insufficient and the new price change mentioned in the above paragraph may appear.

But so far, yarn   There is no obvious sign of improvement in cloth orders. Under the background of export, the textile industry is now facing the impact of international container tension, rising freight rates, epidemic situation and other factors. As the largest and second largest exporting countries of human cotton yarn, India and Brazil also occupy the first two places in the International newly diagnosed number, Pakistan, the fifth largest exporter of man-made cotton yarn, has implemented a nationwide comprehensive blockade, while Myanmar, the second largest exporter of Renmin cotton yarn, is still in a turbulent political situation. Many uncertain factors hold down the purchasing enthusiasm of the market, and the demand feedback after the viscose staple fiber stabilizes at a certain stage is still not general. Therefore, the bottom building process has not yet been completed. It is suggested that the industry should be cautious.

The price position of viscose staple fiber in the chain: the number of viscose staple fiber production enterprises in China is 13 (more than one manufacturer but belonging to the same group is counted as one), and the number of influential enterprises is also 5, while the number of downstream spinning enterprises of viscose staple fiber is large; The main upstream of viscose staple fiber is dissolving pulp, and the downstream group with the largest proportion of dissolved pulp is viscose staple fiber. Most of the time, the trend of pulp price even depends on the trend of viscose. However, the spinning and weaving sectors pay more attention to viscose staple fiber rather than viscose cost. On the one hand, viscose pulp is mainly imported, and it is difficult for downstream to understand the trend of pulp price in time, On the other hand, there are many viscose materials involved in addition to liquid alkali, sulfuric acid and so on. As the downstream of viscose, spinning and weaving groups are rarely entangled clearly. Secondly, the specifications of viscose staple fiber are relatively simple, but in terms of spinning and weaving, there are many models involved, and there is no specific specification representing the price trend of such products. Therefore, it can be said that viscose staple fiber is the price vane and soul throughout the entire industry chain. Since viscose staple fiber has taken on the soul of the industrial chain, it is not only the performance of simple price rise and fall, but also bear the responsibility of the rise and fall of the whole chain.