China'S Cotton Planting Area Showed A Decreasing Trend In 2013.

The slow growth trend of the world economy will continue in the period of < p > 2013. (central economic work conference), the main developed economies are weak and there is a risk of falling into recession again. The fall of the US "a href=" //www.sjfzxm.com/news/index_cj.asp "financial cliff < /a" adds to the uncertainty of the economy.

But the economic outlook is good, the growth rate has recovered, is expected to be 3.6%, Global trade will rebound, expected to grow 4.5%, better than in 2012.

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< p > the quantitative easing policy from the US, Europe and Japan will increase the risk of imported inflation, capital mobility, asset bubbles and price inflation, but it also has a positive effect on stimulating export trade.

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< p > < strong > (1) the pressure on domestic stocks is increasing and the excess of digestion is still less than /strong > /p >

< p > 2013 CCPPI will continue the trend of 200 points, which is the consequence of consumption weakness, overcapacity and market intervention.

In 2012, the new cotton harvest capacity is estimated to be about 5 million 500 thousand tons, plus 3 million 300 thousand tons of storage in 2011, less than a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/news/index_c.asp" > cotton < /a > reserves of up to 9 million tons.

From textile perspective, consumption has dropped to below 10 million tons in recent two years.

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< p > from the perspective of resource balance, the inventory in 2012 will reach 7 million 765 thousand tons, which is also the first time over 10 years.

Under strict control of import conditions, the pattern of oversupply of cotton is expected to continue for a period of time before digestion.

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< p > < strong > (two) excessive resources inhibit production, and cotton planting area has a decreasing trend < /strong > < /p >

< p > excess resources and oversupply will inhibit production.

However, China's status as a major cotton consuming country will not change. Maintaining the stability of cotton production is extremely important for ensuring the effective supply of this staple agricultural product.

According to the monitoring and early warning data of cotton production in China, the cotton planting area will be reduced due to the weak market, import shock and cost increase, management, labor and local disasters.

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< p > strong > (three) textile and clothing exports and consumption are expected to rise steadily. < /strong > < /p >

< p > 1. At the end of 2012, the domestic economy began to stabilize and recover.

China is optimistic about China's economy in 2013, and GDP growth is expected to rise to 8.4%.

Against this background, the environment of cotton textile industry will be improved, production capacity will be recovered and inventory digestion will be accelerated.

The cotton textile industry has been pferred to the market after baptism of high priced cotton and has been closed down.

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< p > however, after all, the textile industry is a people's livelihood industry and a labor-intensive industry. Its social responsibilities are comparable to the industry itself, and the contradiction between overcapacity and overcapacity is the focus of industrial restructuring.

Two, the consumption capacity of the residents has picked up.

It is predicted that textile consumption will rise to 20%.

Three, the industry believes that China's clothing exports will remain low growth for a long time.

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< p > November 2012, the turnover of textile and clothing in Canton Fair dropped by 15.5% compared with the previous period.

However, exports have also resumed growth under the policy of quantitative easing in the US, Europe and Japan.

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