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Viscose Staple Fiber: Prices Fell Below The Lowest Level Over The Years, And The Utilization Of Industrial Capacity Also Dropped To The Lowest Level.

2019/6/27 17:52:00 103

Since the implementation of the supply side reform in 2015, the price of chemical fiber industry has been bottoming out. Viscose staple fibers began to rebound gradually after falling to the lowest level in January 2015, and then began to fall again after April 2017 -2018 in October. The price of viscose staple fiber has dropped to the lowest level since mid April 2017, as shown in Figure 1.

Figure 1

The rapid decline of price has made the viscose staple fiber industry increase in losses, and the overall capacity utilization rate of the industry has also declined significantly. As shown in Figure 2, the utilization rate of viscose staple fiber industry in 2014-2015 years has been around 80% or even below the level. But since the bottom of the industry price rebounded in 2015, the utilization rate of viscose staple fiber has been gradually increased under the increase of profit level. In the 2016-2017 year high production rate, it means that the production of viscose staple fiber is necessary for expansion. Since 2018, the viscose staple fiber industry capacity has begun to increase rapidly, but with the expansion of production capacity, the utilization rate of viscose staple fiber in 2019 has once again dropped to a historical low.

Figure 2

In 2019, the decline in productivity of viscose staple fiber was mainly due to the difficulty in the development of demand and the expansion of the viscose staple fiber industry. As shown in Figure 2, the 2018 viscose staple fiber industry can expand significantly, and with the influence of artificial, water, electricity, macro policy and other factors, since the beginning of 2015-2016, the number of new spinning and weaving enterprises has begun to decline gradually, and the development of the industry is more rational.

Chart number of new spinning enterprises over the past 32014-2018 years

Therefore, conventional cotton type viscose staple fiber industrial chain supply and demand uneven state, resulting in viscose staple industry in 2018-2019 years pricing discourse power obviously weakened, demand led industrial chain profits began to redistribute. Taking R30S as an example, the processing fee has increased from 3888 yuan per ton in 2015 to 4516 yuan / ton in 2018, while the cash flow of viscose staple fiber in 2018 has dropped by 86% compared with 2017.

The shrinking profits forced the enterprises with higher production costs to stop, and the market share of leading enterprises continued to expand. According to the statistics of long Zhong information, China's viscose staple fiber market was basically in a "three feet stand" situation in 2019. Currently, the largest viscose staple enterprises in China are Sai Deli (1 million 100 thousand tons / year), Zhongtai chemical (880 thousand tons / year) and Tangshan three friends (750 thousand tons / year). These three enterprises account for 54% of the total viscose staple fiber production capacity in China. At the same time, some of the strength enterprises have begun to implement the upstream and downstream common development to strive for the lowest cost for their own production, and the best quality and price will continue to expand the market share.