Four Key Points For The Development Of Textile Industry In 2014
First, there will be changes in our raw materials.
As we all know, the cotton policy will give target subsidies to Xinjiang after the new cotton season comes up this year.
So, after hearing this news, many people think that our cotton will drop this year and will be closer to the price of the international market.
But I think the trend of cotton prices this year may be more difficult to predict than in the past two years.
Before September, it was still executing the state reserve price, which was 20400 yuan per ton. Now the acquisition is almost the same. More than 80% are now in the Treasury. The Treasury now has about 13000000 tons of cotton, which is equivalent to two years of production in the Treasury.
The price of 18000 yuan per ton will be set for the state, and this price will still be implemented in the first half of this year and even before September.
Cotton prices will not drop at least for a while.
After the launch of the new cotton market this year, although the country no longer stores, the about 13000000 tons of cotton in the Treasury must take several years to digest it.
How to digest it? Now the state means only one import quota, so the digestion of national cotton reserves will inevitably be linked to import quotas.
How to hook up? What way to hook up? What price link should be used? This is a variable this year.
Therefore, I don't think we should hold much hope in the cotton market price.
There will be changes, but how can it be difficult to say.
Second.
chemical fiber
The problems accumulated over the past few years in the adjustment of chemical fiber industrial structure have been emerging continuously for the past two years.
It is reasonable to say that, like cotton prices were so high last year, the price of chemical fiber should also be lifted up, because less cotton is used, and chemical fibre will be used in large quantities.
But in fact, the price of chemical fiber is still going down.
It looks as if the price of chemical fibre will not be raised this year. The adjustment of this industrial structure will be swallowed up this year, no matter how bitter or what fruit it is.
Third, look at
Exit
In July, China's textile and clothing exports reached a new high level, with an increase over the two quarter, driving the cumulative export growth of 1~7 to 5.1% in every month. In 1-7 months, the total volume of textile and apparel trade increased by 178 billion 250 million US dollars, an increase of 4.8%, of which 162 billion 850 million US dollars were exported, and 15 billion 400 million US dollars were imported, representing an increase of 1.5%, with a cumulative surplus of 147 billion 450 million US dollars, an increase of 5.5%.
Presumably this year's exports are good, but in September the turnover has entered a cold winter. The textile industry has to keep pace with the times, know the current textile dynamics in the world, and make better strategies to make the textile industry develop again.
Fourth.
Domestic demand market
The domestic demand market has dropped to around 11% last year, far below our expectations.
The amount of retail sales of consumer goods mentioned just now amounted to 20 trillion yuan for the urban population, while the rural population only consumed more than 3 billion yuan, while the rural population accounted for more than 40% of our current population, nearly half of the total population of.
The consumption ratio of rural population and urban population is only 1: 7.
Therefore, I believe that for our consumer goods such as clothing and home textiles, we will not be able to increase domestic consumption if we do not raise the level of consumption in the countryside.
Therefore, with the process of urbanization emphasized by the Central Committee, and with the improvement of people's living standards, I hope that the consumption of our rural population can bring our domestic demand to a higher level, hoping that this will be able to stimulate the entire domestic demand market in 2014.
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